Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.158843 0.178909 0.199935 0.223556 0.249298 0.276445 0.307184
2025-02-16 0.131907 0.159042 0.188941 0.224142 0.264257 0.308353 0.360292
2025-02-23 0.116172 0.148573 0.185836 0.231452 0.285357 0.346599 0.420981
2025-03-02 0.098702 0.133636 0.175489 0.228624 0.293536 0.369496 0.464292
2025-03-09 0.085831 0.122562 0.168260 0.228216 0.303649 0.394227 0.509931
2025-03-16 0.074809 0.112450 0.160994 0.226673 0.311572 0.415927 0.552034
2025-03-23 0.068039 0.107100 0.159111 0.231393 0.327029 0.446934 0.606078
2025-03-30 0.060632 0.100011 0.154151 0.231414 0.335982 0.469607 0.649937
2025-04-06 0.054167 0.093531 0.149353 0.231053 0.344006 0.490925 0.692255
2025-04-13 0.048609 0.087773 0.145001 0.230797 0.351811 0.511831 0.734232
2025-04-20 0.044289 0.083437 0.142272 0.232461 0.362020 0.535915 0.780684
2025-04-27 0.041601 0.081392 0.142697 0.238510 0.378338 0.568423 0.838876
2025-05-04 0.037669 0.077090 0.139627 0.239594 0.388158 0.593080 0.888219
2025-05-11 0.034538 0.073805 0.137856 0.242433 0.400488 0.621439 0.943229
2025-05-18 0.033009 0.073159 0.140189 0.251559 0.422214 0.663381 1.017784
2025-05-25 0.029428 0.068399 0.135443 0.249340 0.426928 0.681328 1.059376
2025-06-01 0.026641 0.064789 0.132297 0.249377 0.434866 0.703896 1.107752
2025-06-08 0.023916 0.060966 0.128463 0.248003 0.440452 0.723042 1.151526
2025-06-15 0.022474 0.059546 0.128694 0.253234 0.456304 0.757407 1.217564
2025-06-22 0.020428 0.056621 0.125992 0.253357 0.464048 0.779890 1.266837
2025-06-29 0.018523 0.053752 0.123153 0.253028 0.470949 0.801147 1.314602
2025-07-06 0.016814 0.051092 0.120482 0.252789 0.477874 0.822471 1.362737
2025-07-13 0.015498 0.049165 0.119049 0.254596 0.488093 0.848905 1.418767